NewsSignals
NewsSignals AI analysis·Reuters·

Gold gains on softer oil prices ahead of Fed meeting

Grade Bbullish AI signal$XAU$WTI$BRENT$XAG$XPT$XPD$DXY
Gold rose around 1% as softer oil prices eased inflation concerns ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. Spot gold gained 0.9% to $4,051.78 per ounce, while traders priced an 83% probability of a US rate hike in December amid persistent inflation worries. Gold could face renewed pressure if oil prices rebound and expectations for higher interest rates strengthen, despite support from easing oil prices in the near term.

Bullish strength: 60/100

  • Gold gained 0.9% as lower oil prices eased inflation concerns.
  • Softer oil prices could moderate expectations for more hawkish Federal Reserve policy.

Bearish strength: 40/100

  • Traders priced an 83% probability of a US rate hike in December.
  • High Treasury yields, a strong US dollar, and expectations of rates staying higher for longer weighed on gold's 2026 outlook.
  • A rebound in crude oil prices could reignite inflation concerns and increase pressure for tighter monetary policy.

This is automated NewsSignals analysis of third-party reporting, not independent original reporting or investment advice. AI scores are not price predictions.

Read the original source ↗

← Browse more news analysis

Trade on MEXC

More recent source-attributed AI analysis in macro.

Gold climbs to two-week high as dollar, yields weaken

Gold climbed 1% to $4,102.50 per ounce, reaching its highest settlement since October 21 as a weaker US dollar and falling Treasury yields boosted demand. The 10-year Treasury yield dropped 5.5 basis points to 4.836%, while silver gained 0.2% to $52.233 per ounce. Gold could face renewed selling pressure if Friday's US jobs report strengthens expectations for a December Fed rate hike, despite improving near-term momentum.

Goldman Sachs trims gold forecasts as Fed stays hawkish

Goldman Sachs cut its end-2026 gold price forecast to $4,150 per ounce from $4,650 and its end-2027 target to $4,800 from $5,400, citing the Federal Reserve's increasingly hawkish policy stance. The bank warned that higher oil prices and equity-market drawdowns could trigger additional gold selling, while central-bank demand and long-term investor interest remain supportive. Lower price targets could pressure gold sentiment, although persistent structural demand may limit downside and support longer-term prices.

Goldman Sachs lowers gold price forecasts on hawkish Fed outlook

Goldman Sachs cut its end-2026 gold price forecast to $4,150 per ounce from $4,650, citing the Federal Reserve's increasingly hawkish policy outlook. The bank also reduced its end-2027 forecast to $4,800 from $5,400, warning that higher interest rates could weigh on investor demand despite continued central-bank buying. Persistent monetary tightening and potential oil-driven selling could pressure gold, although structural central-bank demand and fiscal-risk hedging may limit downside.

ICE Review: Canola Falls on Speculative Long Liquidation

ICE canola futures fell to a four-month low as speculative long liquidation intensified selling pressure, with January contracts dropping C$15.10 to C$753.20 per metric ton. Prices broke below their 200-day moving average near C$766, while weaker soybean, soyoil, rapeseed and palm oil markets added pressure; Saskatchewan estimated canola yields at 38.3 bushels per acre versus Statistics Canada's 41.9 estimate. Continued speculative selling and weakness across competing vegetable oils could further pressure canola prices, although lower-than-expected crop yields may provide support.