NewsSignals
NewsSignals AI analysis·Reuters·

Goldman Sachs trims gold forecasts as Fed stays hawkish

Grade Abearish AI signal$XAU
Goldman Sachs cut its end-2026 gold price forecast to $4,150 per ounce from $4,650 and its end-2027 target to $4,800 from $5,400, citing the Federal Reserve's increasingly hawkish policy stance. The bank warned that higher oil prices and equity-market drawdowns could trigger additional gold selling, while central-bank demand and long-term investor interest remain supportive. Lower price targets could pressure gold sentiment, although persistent structural demand may limit downside and support longer-term prices.

Bullish strength: 30/100

  • Structural central-bank demand remains supportive of gold.
  • Private wealth and long-term investors may continue viewing gold as protection against fiscal sustainability risks.
  • Spot gold reached a more than two-week high as the US dollar and Treasury yields weakened.

Bearish strength: 70/100

  • Goldman Sachs cut its end-2026 forecast by $500 to $4,150 per ounce.
  • End-2027 forecast reduced by $600 to $4,800 per ounce.
  • The Fed's more hawkish policy stance is weighing on gold price expectations.
  • Higher oil prices could trigger systematic selling.
  • Sharp equity drawdowns could initially pressure gold through margin calls and broader deleveraging.

This is automated NewsSignals analysis of third-party reporting, not independent original reporting or investment advice. AI scores are not price predictions.

Read the original source ↗

← Browse more news analysis

Trade on MEXC

More recent source-attributed AI analysis in macro.

Gold climbs to two-week high as dollar, yields weaken

Gold climbed 1% to $4,102.50 per ounce, reaching its highest settlement since October 21 as a weaker US dollar and falling Treasury yields boosted demand. The 10-year Treasury yield dropped 5.5 basis points to 4.836%, while silver gained 0.2% to $52.233 per ounce. Gold could face renewed selling pressure if Friday's US jobs report strengthens expectations for a December Fed rate hike, despite improving near-term momentum.

Goldman Sachs lowers gold price forecasts on hawkish Fed outlook

Goldman Sachs cut its end-2026 gold price forecast to $4,150 per ounce from $4,650, citing the Federal Reserve's increasingly hawkish policy outlook. The bank also reduced its end-2027 forecast to $4,800 from $5,400, warning that higher interest rates could weigh on investor demand despite continued central-bank buying. Persistent monetary tightening and potential oil-driven selling could pressure gold, although structural central-bank demand and fiscal-risk hedging may limit downside.

Treasury Yields Hover Around Two-Month Lows Ahead of Payrolls — Market Talk

U.S. Treasury yields are hovering near two-month lows as bond markets increasingly price in the possibility of a December Federal Reserve rate hold ahead of October payrolls. The 10-year yield fell to 4.836% and the two-year to 4.475%, while December rate-hold odds climbed to 35% from 17% in one day. Tomorrow's jobs report could trigger a sharp repricing of rate expectations, potentially driving renewed volatility across Treasury yields, the dollar and gold.

Evening digest: Oil rebounds, OpenAI eyes 2027 IPO as Micron pauses Taiwan project

Oil prices rebounded as renewed tanker attacks in the Middle East heightened concerns about potential supply disruptions, lifting Brent crude nearly 4% to $98.38 a barrel. Gold climbed to a more than two-week high as a weaker dollar and lower Treasury yields supported bullion, while markets priced in a 66% probability of a December Fed rate hike. Meanwhile, OpenAI signalled a potential 2027 IPO and Micron reportedly suspended its planned $4.5 billion Taiwan chip facility, developments that could intensify volatility across energy, precious metals and AI-linked equities.