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The CFTC is investigating suspicious oil trading linked to market developments surrounding the US war in Iran, its enforcement director confirmed Thursday.
David Miller said the probe has been ongoing from the beginning and remains open, following reports that a referral about suspicious trades had been withdrawn from the agency's enforcement team.
The investigation could intensify scrutiny of oil-market trading around major geopolitical decisions, though no findings have been announced in the article.
Stablecoin adoption is accelerating as 18% of corporates now report using stablecoins in production, double the share recorded in EY-Parthenon's 2025 survey, signaling a shift from experimentation toward real-world payment integration.
The survey found that 69% of financial institutions already offer or plan to launch stablecoin services within two years, while 50%–53% of respondents have used or are exploring blockchain-based rails for cross-border business payments.
If banks and payment providers successfully integrate stablecoins into existing systems, adoption and transaction volumes could grow significantly, although liquidity, regulation, and distribution remain key hurdles.
U.S. stocks fell as concerns over AI infrastructure spending pressured technology shares, while surging oil prices added to inflation worries, with Brent crude climbing above $112.45 a barrel.
The Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.4% and the S&P 500 lost 0.7%, while Nvidia, AMD and Meta shares declined as investors questioned the cost of AI investment and rising energy prices heightened geopolitical concerns.
If oil prices remain elevated and AI spending concerns persist, equities could face further pressure as inflation risks intensify and investors favor safer assets.
Bitcoin fell 3.5% to $81,649 as a global technology selloff fueled by concerns over AI spending pressured crypto markets, with Bitcoin ETF inflows emerging as a key test of its outlook.
U.S. spot Bitcoin funds attracted more than $1.08 billion across the first three sessions of the week, but average daily inflows since July 1 remain around $86 million, well below the $200 million-plus averages seen during previous strong rallies.
If equities continue to weaken and ETF demand fails to accelerate, Bitcoin could face further downside pressure despite renewed fund inflows.
Dogecoin Labs launched in partnership with the Dogecoin Foundation, uniting three products to build a broader ecosystem for DOGE applications, users, and payments as the community pursues its long-standing $1 target.
The MyDoge wallet has surpassed 500,000 users, while DogeOS remains in public testnet and Such App is still in beta; meanwhile, DOGE trades at $0.0799 after falling 36.8% since the start of the year.
If Dogecoin Labs successfully expands real-world payments and application adoption, it could strengthen DOGE's long-term utility, though execution risks and weak recent price performance remain significant hurdles.
Bitcoin's outlook hinges on whether spot ETF inflows can withstand continued equity-market weakness, as concerns over AI spending have fueled a global technology selloff and pressured BTC.
U.S. spot Bitcoin funds attracted more than $1.08 billion across the first three sessions of the week, but average daily inflows since July 1 remain around $86 million, well below the $200 million-plus averages during previous strong rallies.
If equity-market declines persist and ETF buying fails to accelerate, Bitcoin could face further downside pressure despite renewed institutional fund inflows.
Russia is redirecting grain exports toward Baltic Sea ports as Ukrainian attacks disrupt Black Sea infrastructure and shipping, limiting its traditional export route.
Kpler analysts say Black Sea grain exports have been minimal so far in October, while ports such as Vysotsk are handling more grain but cannot replace the lost volumes.
Continued disruption could tighten export availability and support wheat prices, although wheat was down 0.2% at $6.27 a bushel in the reported session.
Papertrade's launch exposed a pricing vulnerability after roughly $20 million in Hyperliquid market orders shifted its ETH quotes by 10–20 basis points, creating risks for traders using up to 1,000x leverage.
The synthetic perpetuals exchange launched with a shared USDC liquidity pool of about $5 million despite $85–137 million in initial pre-deposits, and the team began tightening open-interest caps after addressing manipulation attempts.
The episode could increase scrutiny of Hyperliquid-based pricing mechanisms and put pressure on PAPER token holders if liquidity pool losses emerge.
Gasoline inventories at Europe's Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp hub plunged more than 14% week over week to 707,000 metric tons, their lowest level since September 2021.
Higher exports and low refining margins weighed on production, while jet fuel stocks also fell 6.6% to 461,000 tons and gasoil inventories remained roughly steady at 1.78 million tons.
The sharp gasoline stock draw could support European gasoline prices if tight inventories persist, though broader product-stock trends remain mixed.
Fireblocks has denied reports that it is in acquisition talks with Visa, disputing claims of a potential $2.5 billion deal.
Axios reported late-stage discussions based on unidentified sources, while Fireblocks said the acquisition rumors were not true at present; Coinbase was also reportedly considered a potential buyer.
The denial could dampen near-term expectations for a deal, while continued sale rumors may keep attention on potential consolidation in crypto custody.
U.S. natural gas inventories rose by 77 billion cubic feet in the latest week, slightly below market expectations of an 80 Bcf increase.
The reported storage build undershot forecasts by 3 Bcf, indicating a smaller-than-expected addition to inventories.
The smaller storage build could provide modest support for natural gas prices, although the report does not establish the market's actual price reaction.
Citi says near-term oil price risks remain tilted to the upside despite recovering Gulf exports, as shipping bottlenecks keep delivered crude supplies tight.
Gulf oil flows excluding Iran recovered to more than 81% of pre-war levels in September, while very large crude carrier freight rates on the Gulf-China route approached $250 per metric ton, more than 20 times the previous decade's average.
Persistent shipping disruptions and elevated transport costs could keep oil prices under upward pressure even as regional export volumes recover.
China purchased another 202,000 metric tons of U.S. soybeans for the 2026/27 marketing year, marking the fourth consecutive day this week of reported Chinese soybean purchases.
China accounted for 2.18 million tons of the 2.84 million tons in soybean sales for the week ended October 15, while soybeans rose 0.4% on CBOT.
Continued Chinese demand could support soybean prices, although stronger-than-expected corn sales and weaker-than-forecast wheat sales point to mixed signals across U.S. grain markets.
ICE canola futures turned higher in early trading as a spike in crude oil prices lifted vegetable oil markets amid reports that seven oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz were damaged or on fire.
The rally spread to Chicago soybeans, European rapeseed and Malaysian palm oil, while canola's January contract remained below most major moving averages and crush margins edged lower.
Continued oil-market disruption could support canola and competing oilseed prices, although technical weakness and softer crush margins may limit further gains.
Wall Street slid as investors questioned whether massive AI investments can deliver sufficient returns, sending the Nasdaq Composite down 1.46% and the S&P 500 lower by 0.81%.
Meta fell 6.7%, while Tesla dropped 1.9% and Nvidia lost about 2%; meanwhile, Brent crude hovered near a five-month high amid fears of Middle East supply disruptions, and the VIX jumped sharply.
Persistent AI spending concerns and geopolitical tensions could intensify equity volatility and pressure high-valuation technology stocks while supporting oil prices.
U.S. natural gas futures were nearly unchanged at $2.794/mmBtu as traders awaited weekly EIA inventory data, with analysts expecting a 77 Bcf storage injection.
The projected build would narrow the storage surplus versus the five-year average for a 10th consecutive week, but natural gas prices have continued sliding despite a run of below-average inventory increases.
The upcoming report could influence near-term direction, while recovering production, moderating weather and recent price weakness may continue to pressure natural gas futures.
ICE canola futures turned higher in early Thursday trading, supported by a surge in crude oil prices and gains across competing global oilseed markets.
Higher crude prices lifted Chicago soybeans, European rapeseed and Malaysian palm oil, while Canadian canola exports for the 2026-27 season remained ahead of year-ago levels.
However, declining crush margins and the January contract trading below most major moving averages could limit further upside in canola futures.
The Baltic Dry Index rose 0.5% to 2,693 on Thursday, extending its gains to four consecutive sessions and reaching its highest level since October 13.
The capesize index climbed 1.5% to 3,848, while the supramax index rose 1.1% to 1,890, its highest since August 2022; the panamax index fell 2.4% to 2,151, its lowest since August 24.
Continued strength in dry bulk shipping rates could signal firmer demand or tighter capacity in some segments, although weakness in panamax rates points to an uneven market.
REX Shares and Osprey Funds' proposed Canton Coin ETF reaches a key registration milestone as its amendment takes effect on November 13, 2026, advancing the fund toward potential market access.
The proposed ETF would offer investors exposure to Canton Coin through an exchange-traded product without requiring them to hold the token directly, though the article does not confirm final approval or launch.
The development could improve institutional access and broaden investor exposure to Canton Coin if the proposed ETF progresses toward launch.
AIOZ Network is launching AIOZ AI Challenges V3 on October 22, moving AI submission evaluation onto its decentralized physical infrastructure network, AIOZ DePIN.
The upgrade distributes scoring across the network, enables parallel evaluation of multiple submissions, and supports heavier workloads while keeping existing workflows and challenge rules unchanged.
The integration could strengthen AIOZ's network utility by expanding DePIN infrastructure into AI evaluation and processing workloads.
U.S. stocks sold off as Meta plunged 5.8% after reporting its first negative free cash flow since 2012, dragging the broader technology sector lower.
Meta reported $2.1 billion in negative free cash flow as AI infrastructure spending surged 80% year over year to $34.9 billion, despite record combined revenue and an earnings beat; the S&P 500 fell 0.8% and the Nasdaq dropped 1.5%.
Rising AI infrastructure costs could intensify investor scrutiny of tech companies' spending efficiency and pressure technology stocks further.
Visa is reportedly in talks to acquire Fireblocks for up to $2.5 billion, according to Axios. The potential deal would bring Fireblocks’ enterprise digital-asset infrastructure into Visa’s ecosystem.
The reported acquisition is framed as more than a custody technology purchase. If completed, the transaction could connect custody, settlement and institutional crypto services within the payments company’s broader crypto expansion. Bitcoin ($BTC) is the crypto asset named in the report context.
No completion date, transaction terms beyond the reported value, or market-price reaction was provided.
Visa is reportedly in late-stage talks to acquire crypto custody and stablecoin infrastructure firm Fireblocks for around $2.5 billion, although no deal has been announced. Fireblocks was last publicly valued at $8 billion in 2022, while Visa's stablecoin settlement volume has surpassed a $20 billion annualized run rate and Mastercard completed its acquisition of BVNK in August. A completed acquisition could strengthen Visa's position in institutional crypto custody and stablecoin payments, intensifying competition among major payment networks.
U.S. spot XRP ETFs recorded $708,510 in net inflows on October 21, ending a week without inflows as Franklin Templeton’s fund bought $2.25 million in XRP while Bitwise’s fund saw $1.55 million in outflows. Across five spot XRP ETFs, net inflows totaled just $7 million over ten trading sessions from October 8, while XRP traded at $1.33, down 2.3% over 24 hours. XRP could face further downside toward $1.25 if support at $1.31 breaks, while renewed ETF demand could help push the price back toward $1.40.
Treasury yields are falling even as oil prices rise amid escalating Middle East tensions, signaling a break from the usual relationship between energy costs and bond markets. Investors may be increasingly concerned that higher energy prices and borrowing costs could weaken consumer spending and economic growth, while others see the move as portfolio rebalancing into bonds. If growth fears intensify, Treasury yields could remain under pressure despite rising oil prices, while equities may face additional headwinds.
Goldman Sachs warns that risks to its year-end European natural gas price forecast are skewed to the upside as LNG flows through the Strait of Hormuz are disrupted. Reduced flows are affecting up to 300 million cubic meters per day of supply, while Goldman’s base-case year-end forecast for Dutch TTF gas stands at €70/MWh. Continued LNG disruption could push European gas prices above Goldman’s forecast if supply constraints persist.
Bitcoin’s hashrate has rebounded roughly 45% from July lows, which CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju describes as an indirect bullish signal of institutional confidence in the network. Hashrate climbed from about 726 EH/s in July to 1,050 EH/s on Wednesday, while public miner NIP Group agreed to acquire another 4.47 EH/s of deployed mining hardware. Continued hashrate growth could strengthen Bitcoin’s security narrative and long-term investment appeal, although the network remains below its October 2025 peak.
Global stocks are sliding as renewed Middle East tensions drive oil prices higher, intensifying investor concerns across financial markets. AI-related stocks including Nvidia and Intel are falling, Treasury yields are declining as investors seek safety, and Tesla shares are under pressure after the company cited battery constraints and cut its annual capex guidance. Further escalation in the Middle East could sustain upward pressure on oil and deepen risk-off sentiment across equities.
Thailand’s SEC has opened the regulatory path for spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs, but no asset manager has submitted a formal application yet. The framework took effect on October 16, allowing licensed Thai asset managers to launch single-asset passive ETFs, while domestic mutual and private funds can also invest within existing limits. The new rules could expand regulated institutional access to BTC and ETH, although actual demand and launch timing remain uncertain.
Thailand’s new spot crypto ETF framework is drawing interest from several asset managers, but the SEC says no company has yet submitted an application for approval.
The rules now allow locally listed spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs, although the regulator says approval before the end of 2026 remains uncertain and depends on applicant readiness, regulatory reviews and investor protection requirements.
Formal applications and regulatory approvals could become key catalysts for expanding regulated crypto investment access in Thailand, but launch timelines remain unclear.
Arabica coffee futures fell 3.4% to $3.0525 per pound on Thursday as traders took profits from a near six-week high, while expectations for stronger Brazilian exports added pressure.
Robusta coffee dropped 2.3% and London and New York cocoa fell 3.3% and 3.6%, respectively, while raw sugar edged up 0.2% as higher energy prices and weather risks supported its outlook.
Coffee could face further pressure if Brazilian exports accelerate, although tight inventories and approaching harvests may limit the downside.
A longtime Cardano governance representative has stepped down, citing Sui’s technology and adoption as evidence that Cardano has fallen behind, marking the second prominent Cardano supporter to shift toward Sui this year.
The advocate still holds ADA, but it is no longer his largest position, while SUI has edged higher and ADA has lost ground over six months; the article cautions that a few departures do not prove a broader migration of builders or capital.
The departures could intensify scrutiny of Cardano’s ecosystem and leadership, while the planned Leios scaling upgrade may be important to restoring supporter confidence.
U.S. soybean export sales surged to 2.84 million metric tons for the week ended October 15, jumping from 574,900 tons the previous week as China led demand with 2.18 million tons in purchases.
Corn export sales rose 36% week over week to 1.53 million metric tons, exceeding analyst expectations, while wheat sales fell 25% to 239,600 tons, below forecasts.
Strong soybean and corn export demand could support prices for U.S. agricultural commodities, while weaker wheat sales may keep pressure on wheat futures.
American Airlines CEO Robert Isom blamed surging fuel costs for the carrier's third-quarter loss as the company faces a revised full-year loss outlook, with shares falling 4.5% premarket.
Isom said American expects to pay about $7 billion more for fuel this year than anticipated at the start of the year, including fuel-cost increases of $1.9 billion in the third quarter and $2.8 billion in the fourth quarter.
Persistently elevated fuel costs could continue to pressure American Airlines' profitability despite record revenue growth.
BitGo Holdings and Kalshi Prime have launched the HODL Margining Network, introducing a network for crypto-based margin funding.
The announcement identifies BitGo Holdings (NYSE: BTGO) and Kalshi Prime as the launch participants, with crypto-based assets serving as the basis for margin funding.
The initiative could expand crypto collateral use in margin financing and potentially strengthen demand for infrastructure supporting institutional crypto markets.
Wheat futures edged lower while corn and soybeans posted modest gains ahead of the resumption of Chicago Board of Trade trading, with export demand and energy prices driving divergent moves.
US corn export sales reached 1.53 million metric tons, exceeding trade expectations, while soybean sales totaled 2.84 million metric tons and the USDA confirmed an additional 202,000 metric tons sold to China; wheat sales fell short of expectations at 239,600 metric tons.
Corn and soybean futures could find continued support from strong export demand and crude oil strength, while wheat may remain under pressure from weaker sales and prospects of Black Sea export disruptions easing.
Meta disclosed about $825 billion in future spending commitments as of the end of September, covering leases, cloud-computing contracts, data-center arrangements and other agreements, much of it tied to AI compute and infrastructure.
The total rose from about $700 billion disclosed in July. Meta reported $355.7 billion in off-balance-sheet operating and finance leases, including data-center and energy-infrastructure leases extending through 2036, and $454.5 billion in non-cancelable short- and long-term contracts. It also committed to buy up to $14.7 billion of cloud-computing capacity over five years, although that amount could decline if providers sell capacity to other customers.
On Thursday, Meta’s five-year credit default swap rose as much as 8.9 basis points to about 119.3 basis points, an intraday record for the contract, according to ICE Data Services. Its bond spreads versus U.S. Treasuries also widened. CDS prices for Oracle, Microsoft and Broadcom rose the same day, indicating broader concern around debt risk among AI-heavy technology companies.
Meta had raised its full-year capital-expenditure plan in quarterly results and announced a new class of non-voting shares that could be used for future acquisitions and other spending. Unlike cloud providers that sell compute to external clients, Meta generally does not sell computing capacity externally, leaving its infrastructure commitments more directly dependent on its own returns from AI investment.