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UBS sees Brent near $110 by year-end on supply risks, high freight costs

Grade Bbullish AI signal$BRENT$WTI
UBS expects Brent crude to remain elevated near $110 per barrel by year-end, citing Middle Eastern supply risks, high freight costs and recovering Chinese demand despite recent oil price declines. The bank raised its 2027 Brent forecasts by $5 per barrel across March, June and September, while at least 30 ship attacks were reported in and around the Strait of Hormuz in October. Falling global inventories and constrained shipping capacity could sustain elevated oil prices, although geopolitical uncertainty and the pace of supply recovery leave the outlook volatile.

Bullish strength: 75/100

  • UBS forecasts Brent near $110 per barrel by year-end and raised its 2027 price targets.
  • Sharply reduced global inventories and largely completed strategic reserve releases could tighten supply.
  • High freight costs, constrained tanker capacity and recovering Chinese imports could support oil prices.
  • At least 30 ship attacks around the Strait of Hormuz were reported in October, highlighting maritime security risks.

Bearish strength: 25/100

  • Oil prices fell for a second consecutive day as investors awaited corporate earnings and the Federal Reserve's interest-rate decision.
  • Middle Eastern crude flows have substantially recovered from earlier disruptions, potentially easing supply constraints.

This is automated NewsSignals analysis of third-party reporting, not independent original reporting or investment advice. AI scores are not price predictions.

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