Tesla Free Cash Flow Swings to $1.53B as Q3 Margins Beat Expectations
Grade Abullish AI signal$TESLA$TSLAON
Tesla reported third-quarter free cash flow of $1.531 billion, compared with analyst expectations for negative $4.99 billion. Operating cash flow was $6.263 billion and capital expenditure was $4.732 billion. Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments ended the quarter at $45.447 billion, up $1.923 billion from the prior quarter.
The company reported revenue of $28.046 billion, slightly below the $28.13 billion analyst expectation and roughly flat year over year. Adjusted EPS was $0.48 versus expectations of $0.44. Operating profit was $718 million, above the $599 million expectation, while operating margin was 2.6%.
Gross margin was 19.6%, above the 17.8% market expectation and up from 16.8% in the second quarter. Automotive gross margin excluding regulatory credits reached 18.1%, versus 16.3% in the second quarter. Services and other gross margin reached a record 15.9%.
Tesla shares rose more than 3% in regular Wednesday trading and gained more than 2% at one point after the earnings release. The cash-flow recovery came as operating expenses rose 39% year over year to $4.776 billion and capital expenditure increased 110% year over year.
FSD active subscriptions reached 1.74 million, above the 1.57 million market expectation and up 67% year over year. Robotaxi unsupervised miles approached 2 million by quarter-end, an eightfold sequential increase. Energy generation and storage revenue was $2.881 billion, down 16% year over year and below the $3.91 billion expectation, despite 13.7 GWh of energy-storage deployments.
Bullish strength: 72.5/100
Free cash flow of $1.53B, far exceeding the expected -$4.99B
Gross margin of 19.6% beat expectations, with underlying auto profitability recovering
Bearish strength: 27.5/100
Total revenue slightly missed expectations, auto deliveries fell 2% YoY
Energy revenue fell 16% YoY, operating expenses rose 39% YoY
This is automated NewsSignals analysis of third-party reporting, not independent original reporting or investment advice. AI scores are not price predictions.
SpaceX closed down 9.1%, wiping $198 billion from its market value in a single day.
In an after-hours disclosure on October 22, the Musk-led space company said it purchased $151 million of Tesla Megapack products in the third quarter. The purchase establishes a disclosed internal demand channel for Tesla's utility-scale energy-storage products.
The report links SpaceX directly to Tesla's Megapack business, while the SpaceX decline highlights valuation risk for Musk-linked assets. The disclosed figures do not indicate whether the Megapack purchases will recur or expand beyond the third quarter.
Tesla said its committee will explore possible arrangements that include a business combination with SpaceX, according to the source report dated October 22.
The statement describes a potential arrangement for committee review, not a completed transaction. Any further development would depend on committee proposals and disclosures. The event places Tesla and SpaceX at the center of a potential corporate-structure, financing and governance discussion, while the source provides no terms, valuation, timeline or transaction status beyond the committee’s exploration.
Tesla said a committee will explore possible arrangements with SpaceX, including a business combination. The announcement formally puts a potential merger on the table.
The key issue is whether the companies’ capital, technology and governance boundaries could be reassessed. Further proposals, governance decisions and regulatory updates are the primary developments to monitor. The source does not provide price, volume, flow or transaction details.
Tesla fell about 5% in U.S. premarket trading after the company missed third-quarter revenue estimates and lowered its capital-expenditure targets, putting capex repricing at the center of the session.
Semiconductor and optical-networking shares also weakened: IBM and Intel each fell about 5%, Micron Technology declined about 3%, NVIDIA lost about 2%, and Marvell Technology fell about 5%.
Cloud-infrastructure names were lower as well, with Nebius down about 6% and CoreWeave down about 5%. Meta edged higher after its Q3 revenue and Q4 guidance both exceeded expectations; the company raised the lower end of its AI capital-expenditure range and plans to issue new non-voting shares.