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Oil Prices Rise but Stay Below $100 as Traders Weigh Iran Diplomacy, Supply Outlook — Update

Grade Abearish AI signal$BRENT$WTI
Brent and WTI crude rebounded Thursday but remained below $100 a barrel after both benchmarks plunged more than 8% in the previous session amid hopes for reduced U.S.-Iran tensions. Brent gained 1.3% to $95.85 and WTI rose 0.3% to $87.36, while the global oil market recorded an estimated supply surplus of 1.4 million barrels a day in October. Recovering Middle Eastern exports and weaker demand could keep pressure on oil prices, although continued Strait of Hormuz security risks may limit the downside.

Bullish strength: 35/100

  • Brent rose 1.3% to $95.85 and WTI gained 0.3% to $87.36 on Thursday.
  • U.S. crude inventories fell by 865,000 barrels to 409.8 million.
  • Distillate inventories dropped by 3.6 million barrels to 99.3 million.
  • Security threats and elevated shipping costs continue to complicate shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.

Bearish strength: 65/100

  • Both oil benchmarks plunged more than 8% in the previous session.
  • The global oil supply surplus widened from 1.1 million barrels per day in September to 1.4 million in October.
  • Middle Eastern exports recovered to around 20.7 million barrels per day in October from 9.8 million in March.
  • Global oil demand declined by an estimated 3.3 million barrels per day since the conflict began.
  • The Brent prompt spread narrowed below $2.50 per barrel from more than $5 in mid-October, indicating easing immediate supply concerns.

This is automated NewsSignals analysis of third-party reporting, not independent original reporting or investment advice. AI scores are not price predictions.

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