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Oil Prices Rise but Stay Below $100 as Traders Weigh Iran Diplomacy, Supply Outlook — Update

Grade Abearish AI signal$BRENT$WTI
Oil prices rebounded Thursday but remained below $100 per barrel as traders weighed the possibility of U.S.-Iran diplomacy against recovering Middle Eastern supply and weakening global demand. Brent rose 1.3% to $95.85 while WTI gained 0.3% to $87.36, following an 8%+ selloff Wednesday; meanwhile, the global oil surplus widened to 1.4 million barrels per day in October. A potential diplomatic resolution and recovering exports could keep pressure on crude prices, although Strait of Hormuz security risks and declining U.S. fuel inventories may limit further downside.

Bullish strength: 40/100

  • Brent rebounded 1.3% to $95.85 per barrel.
  • WTI recovered 0.3% to $87.36 per barrel.
  • U.S. crude inventories declined by 865,000 barrels to 409.8 million barrels.
  • Distillate inventories dropped by 3.6 million barrels to 99.3 million barrels.
  • Security threats and elevated shipping costs continue to complicate Strait of Hormuz shipments.

Bearish strength: 60/100

  • Global oil supply exceeded demand by 1.4 million barrels per day in October.
  • Middle Eastern exports recovered to 20.7 million barrels per day from 9.8 million in March.
  • Global oil demand declined by 3.3 million barrels per day since the conflict began.
  • The possibility of U.S.-Iran diplomacy has reduced concerns about immediate supply shortages.
  • The Brent near-term futures spread fell below $2.50 per barrel from more than $5 in mid-October.

This is automated NewsSignals analysis of third-party reporting, not independent original reporting or investment advice. AI scores are not price predictions.

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