Gilt Yields Rise as Oil Prices Climb; Investors Await U.K. Budget — Market Talk
Bullish strength: 25/100
- Analysts expect a cautious UK budget that could leave gilt markets relatively calm.
- A fiscal buffer of around £15 billion could reassure gilt investors.
- A credible UK budget could support sterling and narrow the UK-German bond yield spread.
Bearish strength: 75/100
- Ten-year gilt yields rose 2.6 basis points to 5.367%.
- Brent crude climbed 1.2% to $115.20 per barrel, reviving inflation concerns.
- Potential renewed US attacks on Iran raised fears of energy supply disruptions.
- Markets priced in more than 70 basis points of Fed tightening over the next year.
- Sterling fell 0.1% to $1.3283, a 12-day low against the dollar.
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