NewsSignals AI analysis·Jinse Finance·Oct 29, 2026

Fed December Rate-Hike Odds Hit 74.9%

Grade Abearish AI signal$NAS100$SPX500$XAU

CME FedWatch data reported on October 30 show a 74.9% probability that the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 25 basis points in December, versus a 25.1% probability of no change. For January, the data assign a 17.1% probability of rates remaining unchanged, a 58.9% probability of cumulative 25 basis points of hikes, and a 24.1% probability of cumulative 50 basis points of hikes. The repricing centers on both the next Fed decision and the potential duration of tightening, with relevance for risk assets including NAS100, SPX500 and XAU.

Bullish strength: 18/100

There is still a 25.1% probability that rates remain unchanged in December

Bearish strength: 82/100

Probability of a 25 bps rate hike in December rises to 74.9%
Probability of a cumulative 50 bps rate hike by January next year stands at 24.1%

This is automated NewsSignals analysis of third-party reporting, not independent original reporting or investment advice. AI scores are not price predictions.

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