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Copper Prices Should Rise on Tight Supply, Morgan Stanley Says — Market Talk

Grade Abullish AI signal$HG
Morgan Stanley expects copper prices to rise, citing tightening supply, concentrated inventories and mounting mine supply challenges. About 80% of visible global inventories are held in the U.S., while the bank forecasts copper averaging $14,800 per metric ton in Q4 2026 and $14,400 in Q1 2027. Supply constraints could support further price gains, although expected mine-supply growth and uncertainty over U.S. tariffs may limit the longer-term upside.

Bullish strength: 75/100

  • About 80% of global visible copper inventories are concentrated in the U.S.
  • High Chinese physical premiums and reduced scrap availability are supporting refined copper demand.
  • Morgan Stanley forecasts average prices of $14,800 per metric ton in Q4 2026 and $14,400 in Q1 2027.
  • LME three-month copper futures were up 0.9% to $14,251 per metric ton.

Bearish strength: 25/100

  • Morgan Stanley expects mine supply to return to growth.
  • Uncertainty around U.S. tariff policy and an eventual slowdown in U.S. imports could weigh on the longer-term outlook.
  • Softer Chinese end-use consumption remains a demand-side concern.

This is automated NewsSignals analysis of third-party reporting, not independent original reporting or investment advice. AI scores are not price predictions.

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